Lesson 2Trade Promotion OptimizationFree Preview

Source of Volume

Decompose every promotional uplift into expansion, switching, pantry loading, and subsidised base — only two of which create value.

The Hook

The Hook

Your promotional uplift did not come from where you think it did.

A single promotional event has four distinct sources of volume: category expansion (net new buying), brand switching (stealing from rivals), forward-buying / pantry loading (pulling future purchases), and subsidised base (your existing buyers getting the deal). Only the first two create value; the last two destroy it. The Source of Volume decomposition framework is the canonical way practitioners distinguish genuine incremental ROI from accounting-accretive noise.

Expansion · Switching · Pantry · Base4 Sources

Key Concepts — preview of 3 of 15

3 concepts

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